Zan Digital › Companies
OpenAI
Every piece of Zan Digital analysis that covers OpenAI — 14 pieces, each figure traced to a named source.
- 001AI Capex 2026: The $725B Bet With No Payback MathFour hyperscalers plan roughly $725B of capex in 2026, up 77% on 2025. Here is where the money goes, what it earns today, and the three numbers to watch.$725B
- 002AI Circular Deals: Who Actually Pays Whom, and How MuchNvidia's up to $100B commitment to OpenAI was finalised at $30B. A map of the AI circular deals: what is signed, what is only intent, and why it matters.$100B → $30B
- 003Anthropic IPO: The Enterprise Listing That Resets PricingAnthropic filed confidentially on 1 June 2026 for an October listing. A $47B run rate, 85% enterprise revenue, and why the mix matters more than the number.$47B
- 004GenAI ROI: Why 95% of Pilots Show No Return, and Who DoesMIT found 95% of GenAI pilots show no measurable P&L return. What the 5% did differently, where the money is really being made, and how to measure your own.95%
- 005OpenAI IPO: What a Delay Past 2026 Actually SignalsOpenAI filed confidentially in June 2026, then weighed a delay rather than list below $1T. What the numbers say about why, and what each outcome means.$852B
- 006The AI Revenue Leaderboard: Who Has Real RevenueCommitments, run rates and bookings get reported as if interchangeable. A ranking by revenue quality rather than headline number, with what each figure means.~$47B
- 007The IMF Warned on AI Valuations. The Optimists AnsweredThe IMF flagged correction risk in AI-exporting economies. Supporters argue compute scarcity makes the spending rational. Both cases, and what would settle it.Jul 2026
- 008Agent Marketplaces: What Distribution Is Actually WorthEvery major platform launched an agent marketplace. In one editor's data, 3 agents took 92% of turns. What marketplace distribution is really worth.92%
- 009AI Moats in 2026: Integration Depth Beats Model DepthThe top 4 AI labs sit within 25 Elo points of each other. Model quality no longer separates products. Integration depth does, and here is the evidence.25 Elo
- 010Data Moats Are Overrated. Workflow Moats Are NotMost proprietary data can be bought or approximated. Palantir grew US commercial revenue 149% in Q2 2026 by owning the workflow, not the data corpus.149%
- 011Horizontal SaaS in 2026: Five Tests Before You StartGoogle folded a $20 per user AI add-on into a $2 price rise. Five tests that decide whether a horizontal SaaS company is still worth starting in 2026.$20
- 012Incumbent Advantage: Why Worse Enterprise AI Keeps WinningGiven a free choice, just 8% of workers pick Copilot. Given only Copilot, 68% adopt it. Here is the incumbent advantage machine, and how challengers break it.8%
- 013MCP: The Standards Fight That Decides the Agent StackMCP went from one company's experiment to a Linux Foundation standard with 97M monthly SDK downloads. What it settles, what it does not, and who benefits.~97M
- 014Micro SaaS Economics: What One Person Can Actually RunClosed micro SaaS deals change hands at a 3.9x median profit multiple. What AI made cheaper, what it did not, and where the one-person software business stops.3.9x